Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 21.817017 24.753646 27.953717 31.702138 35.975717 40.699976 46.323730
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.398624 21.178347 25.604271 31.178308 38.024256 46.175144 56.642350
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 14.504894 18.808920 24.186501 31.419413 40.926526 53.042443 69.728594
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 12.406571 17.067975 23.256956 32.113270 44.526447 61.402750 86.253122
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 10.571488 15.373350 22.123814 32.366384 47.625485 69.691030 104.336289
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.394588 14.404489 21.842844 33.782463 52.647700 81.607860 130.011697
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.174751 13.171916 20.982108 34.202551 56.289528 92.179624 155.863382
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.928781 11.693016 19.504865 33.403938 57.876921 99.841175 178.657760
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.996274 10.573828 18.429862 33.089274 60.234161 109.252117 206.518280
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.458000 10.044521 18.273427 34.360423 65.657472 125.127682 249.727640
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.046003 9.674696 18.341502 36.063203 72.230128 144.442518 303.986638
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.542522 9.049432 17.832454 36.566563 76.564156 160.255784 354.728702
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.923116 8.112535 16.601613 35.473259 77.590166 169.880380 395.311292
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.394764 7.275157 15.437709 34.320032 78.302095 179.085007 437.502886
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.025772 6.715535 14.767642 34.139688 81.211596 193.964659 497.393985
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.749120 6.313623 14.376821 34.536193 85.601210 213.387111 574.135295
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.480080 5.884148 13.852796 34.522718 89.012768 231.232049 651.738785
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.320618 5.687769 13.844903 35.800131 96.051057 260.133934 768.579831
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.122001 5.361896 13.467448 36.056196 100.442214 282.987106 874.428274
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.886697 4.903755 12.680468 35.065421 101.167379 295.762810 953.177942
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.705907 4.557923 12.127278 34.618782 103.388619 313.498330 1053.354304
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.613773 4.435871 12.154719 35.855487 110.982484 349.536431 1226.600472
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.545400 4.368531 12.323296 37.555458 120.451766 393.977781 1443.946719